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Live Prediction Market Odds

Real-money odds from Polymarket and Kalshi on the questions that move markets. Each page shows the live outcome breakdown. Percentages come from traders with money on the line, not polls or pundit forecasts.

Federal Reserve & Economy

  • How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
  • What will the Fed decide in September 2026?
  • What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
  • Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2026?
  • How high will US inflation get in 2026?
  • How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
  • What will US GDP growth be in 2026?
  • How high will the 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
  • Will there be another US debt downgrade before 2027?
  • Will there be a US government shutdown by October 1?
  • Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
  • When will the AI bubble burst?

Elections

  • Who will win the 2028 US presidential election?
  • Who will be the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee?
  • Who will be the 2028 Republican presidential nominee?
  • Which party will win the House in 2026?
  • Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Crypto

  • When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
  • What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
  • What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
  • Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?

Geopolitics & Tech

  • Will China invade Taiwan before 2027?
  • Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
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