Live Prediction Market Odds
Real-money odds from Polymarket and Kalshi on the questions that move markets. Each page shows the live outcome breakdown, updated about every 5 minutes. Percentages come from traders with money on the line, not polls or pundit forecasts.
Federal Reserve & Economy
- How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- What will the Fed decide in September 2026?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2026?
- How high will US inflation get in 2026?
- How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
- What will US GDP growth be in 2026?
- How high will the 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Will there be another US debt downgrade before 2027?
- Will there be a US government shutdown by October 1?
- Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
- When will the AI bubble burst?